Published 2026-01-20
Keywords
- Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Jumlah Uang Beredar, ASEAN
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Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh simultan dari variabel-variabel moneter inti yaitu inflasi, suku bunga, dan jumlah uang beredar (JUB) terhadap nilai tukar di tujuh negara ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Filipina, Singapura, Vietnam, dan Brunei) selama periode 2015–2024. Menggunakan data panel dengan pendekatan Fixed Effects Model (FEM) dan analisis dilakukan dengan bantuan perangkat lunak Stata 14. Hasil estimasi menunjukkan bahwa inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai tukar, Suku bunga tidak menunjukkan pengaruh yang signifikan dan Jumlah Uang Beredar berpengaruh positif dan signifikan, Secara simultan, ketiga variabel secara bersama-sama berpengaruh signifikan. Temuan ini menyoroti kompleksitas hubungan kebijakan moneter dan nilai tukar di ASEAN, di mana interaksi faktor domestik dan eksternal membentuk hasil yang tidak selalu linear.
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