Articles
ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN KEADAAN EKONOMI 3 SEKTOR “CONSUMPTION, INVESTMENT, AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE” DI KAWASAN ASEAN 2014-2023
Published 2025-12-07
Keywords
- konsumsi,
- investasi,
- pengeluaran pemerintah,
- pertumbuhan ekonomi,
- ASEAN
- data panel ...More
How to Cite
ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN KEADAAN EKONOMI 3 SEKTOR “CONSUMPTION, INVESTMENT, AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE” DI KAWASAN ASEAN 2014-2023. (2025). Musytari : Jurnal Manajemen, Akuntansi, Dan Ekonomi, 25(1), 881-890. https://cibjournal.com/index.php/musytari/article/view/3004
Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh tiga sektor utama ekonomi yaitu konsumsi, investasi, dan pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) di kawasan ASEAN selama periode 2014–2023 berdasarkan kerangka teori Keynesian. Data yang digunakan berupa data panel dari sebelas negara anggota ASEAN yang diperoleh melalui World Bank Open Data. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan model regresi data panel dengan pendekatan Fixed Effect Model (FEM) yang dipilih berdasarkan hasil Uji Chow dan Uji Hausman. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa seluruh variabel independen yaitu konsumsi, investasi, dan pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan PDB. Nilai Adjusted R² sebesar 0,998970 menandakan bahwa model memiliki tingkat kecocokan yang sangat tinggi. Temuan ini menegaskan relevansi teori Keynesian bahwa peningkatan permintaan agregat melalui konsumsi, investasi, dan belanja pemerintah mampu mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi. Hasil analisis per negara menunjukkan variasi struktural dalam kontribusi masing-masing sektor, mencerminkan perbedaan orientasi ekonomi antarnegara ASEAN. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan kebijakan ekonomi yang seimbang antara penguatan konsumsi domestik, peningkatan investasi produktif, dan optimalisasi belanja publik guna mencapai pertumbuhan yang inklusif dan berkelanjutan di kawasan ASEAN.
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